21' — Palermo took the lead: 0-1. Dennis Johnsen scored it. Half time: 0-1.
55' — Palermo extended the lead: 0-2. Filippo Ranocchia scored it. 60' — SS Arezzo pulled one back: 1-2. Pietro Cianci scored it. 74' — SS Arezzo equalised: 2-2. Camillo Tavernelli scored it. 94' — Palermo went back in front: 2-3. Tommaso Augello scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Palermo won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SS ArezzoDrawPalermo
Pre-match model estimate: SS Arezzo 21%, draw 24%, Palermo 55%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Palermo left it late to beat SS Arezzo3-2, with Tommaso Augello the match-winner. The half-time score was 0-1.
Key moments
Palermo took the lead on 21 minutes thanks to Dennis Johnsen, set up by Hernani. Half-time: 0-1, Palermo in front.
Filippo Ranocchia made it 2-0 for Palermo after 55 minutes, set up by Dennis Johnsen. Pietro Cianci reduced the deficit for SS Arezzo to 1-2 after 60 minutes, set up by Camillo Tavernelli. SS Arezzo drew level at 2-2 on 74 minutes thanks to Camillo Tavernelli, set up by Pietro Cianci. Tommaso Augello put Palermo 3-2 ahead after 94 minutes.
Coming up
SS Arezzo visit SS Juve Stabia next, on 7 November in Serie B. Next up for Palermo: away at Ascoli FC on Friday 6 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
