Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Sporting CP beat CS Maritimo 2-1 in League Cup.
In our records Sporting CP and CS Maritimo have met 10 times: Sporting CP won 6, 2 ended level and CS Maritimo won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Sporting CP 2-1 CS Maritimo.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sporting CP won 2-1.
Story
Sporting CP vs CS Maritimo: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 44' — Sporting CP took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with Sporting CP applying more of the pressure.
71' — Sporting CP extended the lead: 2-0. 90' — CS Maritimo pulled one back: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to CS Maritimo. Sporting CP won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Sporting CPCS Maritimo
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min046
Last 15 min825
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sporting CP win in 69% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and CS Maritimo win 13%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sporting CP took the lead on 44 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Sporting CP in front.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards CS Maritimo. Sporting CP extended their lead to 2-0 on 71 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, CS Maritimo pulled one back to make it 2-1.
Match statistics
Corners finished 2-4.
What it means
Sporting CP have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. Sporting CP beat CS Maritimo for the first time since 2023.
Next fixtures
Sporting CP's next match is away to Casa Pia AC on 30 October. CS Maritimo host Santa Clara next, on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Cup
