Casa Pia AC vs Sporting CP: the story of the match
14' — Sporting CP took the lead: 0-1. Pedro Lima scored it. Half time: 0-1.
90' — Sporting CP extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. Sporting CP won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Casa Pia ACDrawSporting CP
Pre-match model estimate: Casa Pia AC 11%, draw 17%, Sporting CP 72%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Casa Pia AC win in 11% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Sporting CP win 72%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sporting CP beat Casa Pia AC2-0 without conceding at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The half-time score was 0-1. 5,478 spectators were at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.
How the match unfolded
Sporting CP took the lead on 14 minutes thanks to Pedro Lima. Sporting CP led 1-0 at the break.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Sporting CP extended their lead to 2-0.
Match statistics
Casa Pia AC had 14 shots (2 on target) to Sporting CP's 29 (10). Casa Pia AC won 3 corners, Sporting CP 4.
What it means
Sporting CP have now scored in 10 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
