Sport Recife vs Criciuma EC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
76' — Sport Recife took the lead: 1-0. Chrystian scored it. 90' — Criciuma EC equalised: 1-1. Fellipe Mateus scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Sport Recife went back in front: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Sport Recife won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sport RecifeDrawCriciuma EC
Pre-match model estimate: Sport Recife 34%, draw 27%, Criciuma EC 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sport Recife win in 34% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Criciuma EC win 39%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%. About 11.3 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Sport Recife and Criciuma EC.
Chrystian opened the scoring for Sport Recife after 76 minutes, set up by Augusto Pucci. Fellipe Mateus equalised for Criciuma EC at 1-1 after 90 minutes. Sport Recife went 2-1 up on 90 minutes.
The statistics
Sport Recife had 11 shots (9 on target) to Criciuma EC's 9 (4). Corners finished 1-8. Dangerous attacks: 69 for Criciuma EC, 43 for Sport Recife.
What the result means
Sport Recife climb from 8th to 7th on 54 points. Criciuma EC remain 5th, now with 59 points.
Brasileiro Serie B
