Criciuma EC vs AA Ponte Preta: the story of the match
25' — Danilo Barcelos of AA Ponte Preta was sent off. 45' — Criciuma EC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
89' — Criciuma EC extended the lead: 2-0. Diego scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Criciuma EC won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Criciuma ECDrawAA Ponte Preta
Pre-match model estimate: Criciuma EC 91%, draw 7%, AA Ponte Preta 2%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Criciuma EC win in 91% of the simulated matches, 7% end level and AA Ponte Preta win 2%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 3-0 (16%); both teams score in 27%. About 11.5 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AA Ponte Preta were a man down from the 25th minute, when Danilo Barcelos was sent off. Criciuma EC took the lead on 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Criciuma EC in front.
Diego made it 2-0 for Criciuma EC after 89 minutes.
The statistics
Criciuma EC had 26 shots (12 on target) to AA Ponte Preta's 3 (3). Criciuma EC won 12 corners, AA Ponte Preta 3. Criciuma EC produced 85 dangerous attacks to AA Ponte Preta's 31.
What it means
Criciuma EC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. AA Ponte Preta have now gone 7 matches without a win.
Brasileiro Serie B
