15' — Millwall took the lead: 0-1. M. Sykes scored it. 25' — Southampton equalised: 1-1. C. Larin scored it. 38' — Southampton completed the turnaround: 2-1. F. Azaz scored it. Half time: 2-1.
55' — Southampton extended the lead: 3-1. L. Scienza scored from the penalty spot. 62' — Southampton extended the lead: 4-1. C. Larin scored it. 86' — Southampton extended the lead: 5-1. T. Fellows scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Southampton won 5-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SouthamptonDrawMillwall
Pre-match model estimate: Southampton 55%, draw 26%, Millwall 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Southampton recovered from going behind and won 5-1 against Millwall. Southampton owed a lot to C. Larin, who struck twice.
The story of the match
Millwall took the lead in the 15th minute: M. Sykes. Southampton drew level at 1-1 on 25 minutes thanks to C. Larin, set up by R. Manning. F. Azaz turned the game around for Southampton at 2-1 after 38 minutes, set up by L. Scienza. Half-time: 2-1, Southampton in front.
Southampton extended their lead to 3-1 on 55 minutes thanks to L. Scienza from the penalty spot. Southampton extended their lead to 4-1 in the 62nd minute: C. Larin, set up by F. Azaz. Southampton extended their lead to 5-1 in the 86th minute: T. Fellows.
Next fixtures
Next up for Southampton: away at West Bromwich Albion on Tuesday 3 November. Millwall's next match is away to Birmingham City on 3 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English League Championship
