SK Super Nova Salaspils vs FC RFS: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
50' — FC RFS took the lead: 0-1. Ž. Lipušček scored it. 59' — FC RFS extended the lead: 0-2. D. Lemajić scored it. 88' — FC RFS extended the lead: 0-3. Ž. Lipušček scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC RFS won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SK Super Nova SalaspilsDrawFC RFS
Pre-match model estimate: SK Super Nova Salaspils 5%, draw 12%, FC RFS 83%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SK Super Nova Salaspils win in 5% of the simulated matches, 12% end level and FC RFS win 83%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (15%); both teams score in 36%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was SK Super Nova Salaspils 0-0 FC RFS at half-time.
Ž. Lipušček opened the scoring for FC RFS after 50 minutes, set up by D. Zelenkovs. FC RFS extended their lead to 2-0 on 59 minutes thanks to D. Lemajić, set up by L. Odisharia. FC RFS extended their lead to 3-0 in the 88th minute: Ž. Lipušček, set up by D. Zelenkovs.
Match statistics
SK Super Nova Salaspils had 2 shots (2 on target) to FC RFS' 4 (3). Corners finished 5-8. Dangerous attacks: 162 for FC RFS, 97 for SK Super Nova Salaspils.
The bigger picture
SK Super Nova Salaspils remain 6th, now with 38 points. FC RFS stay 1st on 86 points. That is 4 straight wins for FC RFS.
What’s next
SK Super Nova Salaspils visit FK Liepaja next, on 1 November in the Virsliga. Next up for FC RFS: home to Grobinas SC on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Virsliga
