Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FK Auda beat Ogre United 4-1 in Virsliga.
Match decisions & VAR
44'Penalty awardedFK AudaDecision
48'Penalty awardedFK AudaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Auda won 1-4.
Story
Ogre United vs FK Auda: the story of the match
24' — Ogre United took the lead: 1-0. 32' — FK Auda equalised: 1-1. 45' — FK Auda completed the turnaround: 1-2. 45' — FK Auda extended the lead: 1-3. Half time: 1-3.
90' — FK Auda extended the lead: 1-4. It came in the closing minutes. FK Auda won 1-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ogre UnitedDrawFK Auda
Pre-match model estimate: Ogre United 16%, draw 19%, FK Auda 65%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ogre United win in 16% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and FK Auda win 65%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ogre United took the lead on 24 minutes. FK Auda drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes. FK Auda completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 45 minutes. FK Auda extended their lead to 3-1 on 45 minutes. It was Ogre United 1-3 FK Auda at half-time.
Late on, in the 90th minute, FK Auda extended their lead to 4-1.
What the numbers say
FK Auda produced 86 dangerous attacks to Ogre United's 63.
What it means
Ogre United stay 10th on 18 points. FK Auda remain 3rd, now with 67 points. Ogre United have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. FK Auda have now scored in 10 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Ogre United's next match is at home against Riga FC on 1 November. FK Auda host FS Jelgava next, on 1 November in the Virsliga.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Virsliga
