Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
UD Las Palmas and CD Eldense meet on in LaLiga 2.
Venue: Estadio Gran Canaria.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards UD Las Palmas (49%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
49%24%27%
UD Las Palmas49%Draw24%CD Eldense27%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
UD Las Palmas vs CD Eldense: preview
UD Las Palmas have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. UD Las Palmas have won 3 matches in a row. 7 of UD Las Palmas's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. CD Eldense have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 4 of CD Eldense's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
UD Las Palmas are in position 13 with 17 points, CD Eldense in position 15 with 14 points. A win could lift UD Las Palmas as high as position 10. A win could lift CD Eldense as high as position 12.
Our pre-match model estimate: UD Las Palmas 49%, draw 24%, CD Eldense 27%.
Table by result
UD Las Palmas13
A win lifts them to 10.
A defeat can drop them as low as 14.
Win10Draw11–12Loss12–14
CD Eldense15
A win can lift them as high as 12.
Win12–14Draw14–15Loss15
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Las Palmas win in 49% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD Eldense win 27%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
In the table, UD Las Palmas sit 13th with 17 points and CD Eldense are 15th with 14 points. 3 points separate the sides, with UD Las Palmas in front.
How they come into it
Over the last 5 matches, UD Las Palmas have collected 3 wins and 2 defeats. UD Las Palmas have won 3 in a row. Goals have flowed in UD Las Palmas' games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Recent form for CD Eldense: 3 wins and 2 defeats in 5, with 6 goals for and 7 against. Granada beat CD Eldense 2-0 last time out. Across 10 matches, CD Eldense have scored 1.2 and let in 1.1 goals per match on average.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.