SBV Excelsior vs Groningen: the story of the match
7' — Groningen took the lead: 0-1. Marco Rente scored it. 36' — SBV Excelsior equalised: 1-1. Irakli Yegoian scored from the penalty spot. 38' — Groningen went back in front: 1-2. An own goal by Stijn van Gassel. Half time: 1-2.
64' — Groningen extended the lead: 1-3. Thom Van Bergen scored from the penalty spot. 67' — Groningen extended the lead: 1-4. Brynjólfur Willumsson scored it. 90' — Groningen extended the lead: 1-5. It came in the closing minutes. Groningen won 1-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
Pre-match model estimate: SBV Excelsior 35%, draw 24%, Groningen 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Groningen took the lead in the 7th minute: Marco Rente. SBV Excelsior drew level at 1-1 in the 36th minute: Irakli Yegoian from the penalty spot. Groningen went 2-1 up on 38 minutes thanks to an own goal from Stijn van Gassel. It was SBV Excelsior 1-2 Groningen at half-time.
Groningen extended their lead to 3-1 on 64 minutes thanks to Thom Van Bergen from the penalty spot. Groningen extended their lead to 4-1 on 67 minutes thanks to Brynjólfur Willumsson, set up by Pelle Clement. Groningen extended their lead to 5-1 on 90 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 3-6.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for SBV Excelsior: 4 matches now. Groningen are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Next fixtures
SBV Excelsior's next match is away to MVV Maastricht on 28 October. Groningen host Emmen next, on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
