33' — Gillingham took the lead: 0-1. James Brophy scored it. Half time: 0-1.
53' — Gillingham extended the lead: 0-2. Omar Beckles scored it. 56' — Gillingham extended the lead: 0-3. Lamin Sillah scored it. 60' — Edward Francis of Rochdale was sent off. 68' — Gillingham extended the lead: 0-4. James Brophy scored it. 87' — Rochdale pulled one back: 1-4. Charlie Tasker scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Gillingham won 1-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
RochdaleDrawGillingham
Pre-match model estimate: Rochdale 33%, draw 25%, Gillingham 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-1 rout: Gillingham swept Rochdale aside at Spotland Stadium. Gillingham owed a lot to James Brophy, who struck twice. It was 0-1 at half-time.
Key moments
Gillingham took the lead in the 33rd minute: James Brophy, set up by Nick Freeman. Half-time: 0-1, Gillingham in front.
Gillingham extended their lead to 2-0 on 53 minutes thanks to Omar Beckles. Gillingham extended their lead to 3-0 on 56 minutes thanks to Lamin Sillah, set up by Andy Smith. Rochdale had a player sent off on 60 minutes: Edward Francis. Gillingham extended their lead to 4-0 on 68 minutes thanks to James Brophy, set up by Eli King. Rochdale pulled one back to make it 1-4 on 87 minutes thanks to Charlie Tasker, set up by Glenn Middleton.
Next fixtures
Next up for Rochdale: away at Fleetwood Town on Saturday 7 November. Gillingham's next match is at home against Barrow AFC on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
