Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Riga Mariners beat JDFS Alberts 3-1 in 1. Liga.
In our records Riga Mariners and JDFS Alberts have met 4 times: Riga Mariners won 3, 0 ended level and JDFS Alberts won 1.
Their latest meeting (): JDFS Alberts 0-4 Riga Mariners.
Match details
Coaches
– · Arturs Zakresevskis
Match decisions & VAR
82'Penalty awardedJDFS AlbertsDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Riga Mariners won 3-1.
Story
Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
56' — Riga Mariners took the lead: 1-0. 63' — Riga Mariners extended the lead: 2-0. 75' — Riga Mariners extended the lead: 3-0. 83' — JDFS Alberts pulled one back: 3-1. Riga Mariners won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Riga MarinersDrawJDFS Alberts
Pre-match model estimate: Riga Mariners 62%, draw 19%, JDFS Alberts 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Riga MarinersJDFS Alberts
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min00
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Riga Mariners win in 62% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and JDFS Alberts win 19%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Riga Mariners took the lead on 56 minutes. Riga Mariners extended their lead to 2-0 on 63 minutes. Riga Mariners extended their lead to 3-0 on 75 minutes. JDFS Alberts pulled one back to make it 3-1 on 83 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 4-2.
What the result means
Riga Mariners remain 3rd, now with 56 points. JDFS Alberts stay 5th on 44 points. JDFS Alberts' 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
