RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: the story of the match
3' — Patro Eisden Maasmechelen took the lead: 0-1. H. Mnoga scored it. 14' — Patro Eisden Maasmechelen extended the lead: 0-2. R. Nainggolan scored it. 22' — Patro Eisden Maasmechelen extended the lead: 0-3. Hong Seok-Ju scored it. Half time: 0-3.
60' — RFC Liege pulled one back: 1-3. S. Paulet scored from the penalty spot. 81' — RFC Liege pulled one back: 2-3. R. Ogam scored it. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
RFC LiegeDrawPatro Eisden Maasmechelen
Pre-match model estimate: RFC Liege 30%, draw 25%, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): RFC Liege win in 30% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win 45%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
RFC Liege – Patro Eisden Maasmechelen match report
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen took the lead in the 3rd minute: H. Mnoga, set up by J. Munezero. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen extended their lead to 2-0 on 14 minutes thanks to R. Nainggolan. The officials disallowed a Patro Eisden Maasmechelen goal on 16 minutes. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen extended their lead to 3-0 on 22 minutes thanks to Hong Seok-Ju, set up by R. Takaoka. Half-time: 0-3, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen in front.
RFC Liege pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 60th minute: S. Paulet from the penalty spot. R. Ogam reduced the deficit for RFC Liege to 2-3 after 81 minutes, set up by K. Ruiz-Atil. RFC Liege had a goal ruled out in the 91st minute. The officials disallowed a RFC Liege goal on 91 minutes.
Match statistics
RFC Liege had 6 shots (4 on target) to Patro Eisden Maasmechelen's 4 (3). Dangerous attacks: 212 for RFC Liege, 161 for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen.
What it means
RFC Liege slip to 14th (5 points), having started the day 13th. Patro Eisden Maasmechelen climb from 12th to 9th on 9 points. The wait for a win goes on for RFC Liege: 4 matches now.
Challenger Pro League
