This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): RFC Seraing win in 50% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and RFC Liege win 26%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
H. Ondo-Eyi saw a straight red card in the 20th minute, leaving RFC Liege short-handed. Moustapha Diop opened the scoring for RFC Seraing after 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, RFC Seraing in front.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-0, from 7 and 0 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-6. Dangerous attacks: 95 for RFC Seraing, 59 for RFC Liege.
What the result means
RFC Liege have lost 4 in a row. RFC Seraing had not beaten RFC Liege in any of the previous 6 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
