One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Real RefinerosKick-off0-0Guerreros de Autlan
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Refineros win in 32% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Guerreros de Autlan win 46%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 65%. About 8.7 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Goals scored per match: 1.7Goals conceded per match: 1.7
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Real Refineros won 3-2.
Story
Real Refineros vs Guerreros de Autlan: the story of the match
23' — Real Refineros took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
60' — Real Refineros extended the lead: 2-0. 69' — Guerreros de Autlan pulled one back: 2-1. 71' — Guerreros de Autlan equalised: 2-2. 75' — Real Refineros went back in front: 3-2. Real Refineros won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real RefinerosDrawGuerreros de Autlan
Pre-match model estimate: Real Refineros 32%, draw 22%, Guerreros de Autlan 46%.
Real Refineros beat Guerreros de Autlan3-2 in the Liga Premier. It was 1-0 at half-time. The match was played on Saturday, 31 October 2026 (matchday 10).
How the match unfolded
Real Refineros took the lead on 23 minutes. It was Real Refineros 1-0 Guerreros de Autlan at half-time.
Real Refineros extended their lead to 2-0 on 60 minutes. Guerreros de Autlan pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 69 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (71') Guerreros de Autlan drew level at 2-2. Just 4 minutes later (75') Real Refineros went 3-2 up.
Match statistics
Real Refineros had 9 shots (8 on target) to Guerreros de Autlan's 5 (5). Corners finished 3-6. The referee showed 5 yellow cards, 3 to Real Refineros and 2 to Guerreros de Autlan. Real Refineros committed 16 fouls to Guerreros de Autlan's 12, and the offside count read 3-3.
The context
Real Refineros came into the match with 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches — 7 without a win. Santiago FC beat Real Refineros 6-0 last time out. Before kick-off, Guerreros de Autlan's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Last time out, Guerreros de Autlan beat Halcones Negros FC 2-1 at home.
What it means
A 7-game wait for victory is over for Real Refineros. Guerreros de Autlan's 4-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
