Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Santiago FC beat Real Refineros 6-0 in Liga Premier.
Match decisions & VAR
25'Red cardReal RefinerosDecision
40'Penalty awardedSantiago FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Santiago FC won 6-0.
Story
Santiago FC vs Real Refineros: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 15' — Santiago FC took the lead: 1-0. 25' — Real Refineros had a player sent off. 33' — Santiago FC extended the lead: 2-0. 45' — Santiago FC extended the lead: 3-0. Half time: 3-0, with Santiago FC applying more of the pressure.
49' — Santiago FC extended the lead: 4-0. 65' — Santiago FC extended the lead: 5-0. 72' — Santiago FC extended the lead: 6-0. Santiago FC won 6-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Santiago FCDrawReal Refineros
Pre-match model estimate: Santiago FC 81%, draw 13%, Real Refineros 6%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Santiago FCReal Refineros
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1212
Last 15 min344
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Santiago FC win in 81% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and Real Refineros win 6%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (13%); both teams score in 42%. About 8.7 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Santiago FC took the lead on 15 minutes. Real Refineros had a player sent off on 25 minutes. Santiago FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 33 minutes. Santiago FC extended their lead to 3-0 on 45 minutes. Santiago FC led 3-0 at the break.
Just 4 minutes later (49') Santiago FC extended their lead to 4-0. Santiago FC extended their lead to 5-0 on 65 minutes. Santiago FC extended their lead to 6-0 on 72 minutes.
Match statistics
Santiago FC produced 51 dangerous attacks to Real Refineros' 23.
What the result means
Santiago FC extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. Real Refineros have now gone 7 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
