Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Reading U21
T. Borgnis
K. Abrefa
S. Harrison
P. Duah
C. Logan
L. Howard
K. Mfuamba
T. Saint-Louis
M. Dashi
J. Jones
J. Ntege
Derby County U21
S. Kane
I. Gordon
A. Osayande
R. Offor
T. Gill
F. Jones
C. Smith
M. Tola
D. Hodges
J. Oguntolu
C. Wilson
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Derby County U21 won 1-3.
Story
Reading U21 vs Derby County U21: the story of the match
34' — Derby County U21 took the lead: 0-1. J. Oguntolu scored it. Half time: 0-1.
49' — Reading U21 equalised: 1-1. J. Jones scored it. 70' — Derby County U21 went back in front: 1-2. C. Smith scored it. 90' — Derby County U21 extended the lead: 1-3. J. Osong scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Derby County U21 won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Reading U21DrawDerby County U21
Pre-match model estimate: Reading U21 46%, draw 23%, Derby County U21 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Derby County U21 took the lead on 34 minutes thanks to J. Oguntolu, set up by I. Gordon. It was Reading U21 0-1 Derby County U21 at half-time.
Reading U21 drew level at 1-1 on 49 minutes thanks to J. Jones, set up by L. Howard. C. Smith put Derby County U21 2-1 ahead after 70 minutes, set up by J. Oguntolu. Late on, in the 90th minute, Derby County U21 extended their lead to 3-1 through J. Osong, set up by D. Hodges.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.