Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Chorley FC beat Radcliffe Borough FC 3-0 in National League North.
In our records Radcliffe Borough FC and Chorley FC have met 4 times: Radcliffe Borough FC won 2, 1 ended level and Chorley FC won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Chorley FC 0-1 Radcliffe Borough FC.
Match decisions & VAR
57'Red cardRadcliffe Borough FCDecision
81'Red cardRadcliffe Borough FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Chorley FC won 0-3.
Story
Radcliffe Borough FC vs Chorley FC: the story of the match
Radcliffe Borough FC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 6' — Chorley FC took the lead: 0-1. 23' — Chorley FC extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2, with Radcliffe Borough FC applying more of the pressure.
57' — Radcliffe Borough FC had a player sent off. 59' — Chorley FC extended the lead: 0-3. 81' — Radcliffe Borough FC had a player sent off. After 46' the momentum swung to Chorley FC. After 61' the momentum swung to Radcliffe Borough FC. After 91' the momentum swung to Chorley FC. Chorley FC won 0-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Radcliffe Borough FCDrawChorley FC
Pre-match model estimate: Radcliffe Borough FC 43%, draw 24%, Chorley FC 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Radcliffe Borough FCChorley FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1295
Last 15 min3782
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Radcliffe Borough FC win in 43% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Chorley FC win 33%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Radcliffe Borough FC started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Chorley FC took the lead on 6 minutes. Chorley FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 23 minutes. Half-time: 0-2, Chorley FC in front.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Chorley FC. Radcliffe Borough FC had a player sent off on 57 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (59') Chorley FC extended their lead to 3-0. Radcliffe Borough FC took over after the 61st minute, pinning Chorley FC back. Radcliffe Borough FC were a man down from the 81st minute.
The statistics
Radcliffe Borough FC had 6 shots (1 on target) to Chorley FC's 8 (5). Radcliffe Borough FC's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 108 for Radcliffe Borough FC, 86 for Chorley FC.
What the result means
Radcliffe Borough FC slip to 20th (15 points), having started the day 18th. Chorley FC climb from 13th to 11th on 20 points. Radcliffe Borough FC's winning streak stops at 3. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Chorley FC.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
National League North
