RAAL La Louviere vs SV Zulte Waregem: the story of the match
38' — RAAL La Louviere took the lead: 1-0. Nolan Gillot scored it. Half time: 1-0.
73' — RAAL La Louviere extended the lead: 2-0. Nolan Gillot scored it. 84' — RAAL La Louviere extended the lead: 3-0. Léandro Rousseau scored it. RAAL La Louviere won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
RAAL La LouviereDrawSV Zulte Waregem
Pre-match model estimate: RAAL La Louviere 32%, draw 26%, SV Zulte Waregem 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): RAAL La Louviere win in 32% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and SV Zulte Waregem win 42%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
RAAL La Louviere took the lead in the 38th minute: Nolan Gillot. RAAL La Louviere led 1-0 at the break.
RAAL La Louviere had a goal ruled out in the 49th minute. The officials disallowed a RAAL La Louviere goal on 49 minutes. Nolan Gillot made it 2-0 for RAAL La Louviere after 73 minutes. RAAL La Louviere extended their lead to 3-0 on 84 minutes thanks to Léandro Rousseau.
Match statistics
The shot count read 9-11, 5-5 on target. RAAL La Louviere won 5 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 3. 5 saves came from the RAAL La Louviere goalkeeper.
The bigger picture
The result lifts RAAL La Louviere to 14th with 7 points, up from 16th. SV Zulte Waregem drop from 8th to 10th on 11 points. RAAL La Louviere have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. It is RAAL La Louviere's first win over SV Zulte Waregem in the last 9 meetings on record.
Pro League
