KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren: the story of the match
10' — KVC Westerlo took the lead: 1-0. Shunsuke Saito scored it. 34' — SK Beveren equalised: 1-1. Elohim Kaboré scored it. 45' — KVC Westerlo went back in front: 2-1. Norman Bassette scored it. Half time: 2-1.
55' — KVC Westerlo extended the lead: 3-1. Norman Bassette scored from the penalty spot. 67' — SK Beveren pulled one back: 3-2. Chris Lokesa scored it. 88' — SK Beveren equalised: 3-3. Victor Olatunji scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — SK Beveren completed the turnaround: 3-4. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — KVC Westerlo equalised: 4-4. It came in the closing minutes. 99' — Reda Laalaoui of KVC Westerlo was sent off. The match ended 4-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KVC WesterloDrawSK Beveren
Pre-match model estimate: KVC Westerlo 54%, draw 22%, SK Beveren 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KVC Westerlo win in 54% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and SK Beveren win 24%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
KVC Westerlo took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to Shunsuke Saito. SK Beveren drew level at 1-1 in the 34th minute: Elohim Kaboré. KVC Westerlo went 2-1 up on 45 minutes thanks to Norman Bassette. KVC Westerlo led 2-1 at the break.
KVC Westerlo extended their lead to 3-1 in the 55th minute: Norman Bassette from the penalty spot. SK Beveren pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 67 minutes thanks to Chris Lokesa. SK Beveren drew level at 3-3 in the 88th minute: Victor Olatunji. Just 2 minutes later (90') SK Beveren completed the turnaround at 4-3. Late on, in the 90th minute, KVC Westerlo drew level at 4-4.
KVC Westerlo were a man down from the 99th minute, when Reda Laalaoui was sent off.
The statistics
KVC Westerlo had 5 shots (3 on target) to SK Beveren's 8 (4). Corners finished 3-7.
What the result means
KVC Westerlo's winning streak stops at 5. Across 11 meetings in our records: 5 wins for KVC Westerlo, 2 wins for SK Beveren and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.