Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul AC: the story of the match
19' — Cruz Azul AC took the lead: 0-1. Andres Montaño scored from the penalty spot. 33' — Queretaro FC equalised: 1-1. Mateo Coronel scored it. 44' — Cruz Azul AC went back in front: 1-2. Osinachi Ebere scored it. 45' — Cruz Azul AC extended the lead: 1-3. Nicolás Ibáñez scored it. Half time: 1-3.
Cruz Azul AC won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Queretaro FCDrawCruz Azul AC
Pre-match model estimate: Queretaro FC 28%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul AC 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Queretaro FC win in 28% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Cruz Azul AC win 48%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%. About 10.8 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Andres Montaño opened the scoring for Cruz Azul AC after 19 minutes. Queretaro FC drew level at 1-1 on 33 minutes thanks to Mateo Coronel, set up by Iker Benito. Cruz Azul AC went 2-1 up on 44 minutes thanks to Osinachi Ebere, set up by Jesús Orozco. Just 1 minutes later (45') Cruz Azul AC extended their lead to 3-1, Nicolás Ibáñez on target. Cruz Azul AC led 3-1 at the break.
The statistics
Corners finished 8-6.
What the result means
Queretaro FC slip to 9th (20 points), having started the day 8th. Cruz Azul AC climb from 3rd to 2nd on 26 points. Cruz Azul AC are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
Coming up
Queretaro FC's next match is away to FC Juarez on 31 October. Cruz Azul AC host Club Leon next, on 2 November in Liga MX, Apertura.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga MX, Apertura
