Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna: the story of the match
13' — Club Tijuana took the lead: 1-0. Francisco González scored it. 18' — Club Tijuana extended the lead: 2-0. Ignacio Rivero scored it. Half time: 2-0.
66' — Santos Laguna pulled one back: 2-1. Esteban Lozano scored it. 69' — Club Tijuana extended the lead: 3-1. Adonis Preciado scored it. 72' — Club Tijuana extended the lead: 4-1. Ignacio Rivero scored it. Club Tijuana won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Club TijuanaDrawSantos Laguna
Pre-match model estimate: Club Tijuana 40%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Club Tijuana win in 40% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Santos Laguna win 34%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 11.5 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Francisco González opened the scoring for Club Tijuana after 13 minutes, set up by Adonis Preciado. Just 5 minutes later (18') Club Tijuana extended their lead to 2-0, Ignacio Rivero on target. Half-time: 2-0, Club Tijuana in front.
Santos Laguna pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 66th minute: Esteban Lozano, set up by Ezequiel Bullaude. Club Tijuana extended their lead to 3-1 on 69 minutes thanks to Adonis Preciado. Club Tijuana extended their lead to 4-1 on 72 minutes thanks to Ignacio Rivero, set up by Jesus Vega.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 9-4, 9-2 on target. Corners finished 3-4. Dangerous attacks: 55 for Santos Laguna, 36 for Club Tijuana.
The bigger picture
Club Tijuana climb from 11th to 8th on 20 points. Santos Laguna slip to 10th (19 points), having started the day 9th. A 6-game wait for victory is over for Club Tijuana. Santos Laguna's winning streak stops at 6.
Coming up
Next up for Club Tijuana: away at Club America on Thursday 29 October. Santos Laguna's next match is at home against Club Necaxa on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga MX, Apertura
