11' — Orense SC took the lead: 1-0. Gonzalo Rostagno scored it. 40' — Orense SC extended the lead: 2-0. An own goal by Jefferson Arce. Half time: 2-0.
78' — Orense SC extended the lead: 3-0. Jhon Valencia scored it. 89' — Orense SC extended the lead: 4-0. Miguel Parrales scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Orense SC won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Orense SC win in 48% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Delfin SC win 25%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 46%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Orense SC – Delfin SC match report
Updated:
A 4-0 rout: Orense SC swept Delfin SC aside at Estadio 9 de Mayo. It was 2-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Gonzalo Rostagno opened the scoring for Orense SC after 11 minutes. Orense SC extended their lead to 2-0 in the 40th minute: an own goal from Jefferson Arce. Orense SC led 2-0 at the break.
Jhon Valencia made it 3-0 for Orense SC after 78 minutes. Late on, in the 89th minute, Orense SC extended their lead to 4-0 through Miguel Parrales.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-0, from 3 and 1 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-5. Dangerous attacks: 96 for Delfin SC, 41 for Orense SC.
The bigger picture
Orense SC move on to 36 points. The result takes Delfin SC to 28 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Orense SC. Delfin SC's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
Serie A, Relegation Round
