One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Onze Creatures de NiarelaKick-off0-0Stade Malien
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Onze Creatures de Niarela 0.6 – 1.3 Stade Malien. Most frequent scores: 0-1 (19%), 0-0 (14%), 0-2 (12%). Both teams score in 34% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Onze Creatures de NiarelaStade Malien
Stade Malien: the stronger side on our resultsSMstrong
Onze Creatures de Niarela: home advantage in this competitionOCclear
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Stade Malien.
Why it matters: A win could put Stade Malien top of the table.
Table by result
Onze Creatures de Niarela13
A win can lift them as high as 3.
Win3–6Draw7–9Loss9–13
Stade Malien2
A win takes them top.
Win1Draw1Loss1–2
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Onze Creatures de Niarela131 PtsStade Malien26 Pts
In the table, Onze Creatures de Niarela sit 13th with 1 point and Stade Malien are 2nd with 6 points. Stade Malien are 5 points ahead of Onze Creatures de Niarela. A win could take Stade Malien top of the table.
Stade Malien are level on points with the leaders.
How they come into it
Onze Creatures de NiarelaLDDDLStade MalienWWDDW
Over the last 5 matches, Onze Creatures de Niarela have collected 3 draws and 2 defeats. Onze Creatures de Niarela are winless in 5. At home, Onze Creatures de Niarela have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 4 matches, with a goal tally of 2-2. Onze Creatures de Niarela have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Recent form for Stade Malien: 3 wins and 2 draws in 5, with 4 goals for and 0 against. Stade Malien are unbeaten in 13 matches. Stade Malien are unbeaten in their last 5 matches away from home (3 wins and 2 draws). 7 of Stade Malien's last 10 matches ended without a goal conceded.
Head to head
Onze Creatures de Niarela and Stade Malien have met 6 times in our records: 5 wins for Stade Malien and 1 draw. The last meeting, in 2026, went 2-1 to Stade Malien. Onze Creatures de Niarela have lost each of the last 4 games against Stade Malien.
Ligue 1
