Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Stade Malien beat AS Real Bamako 1-0 in Ligue 1.
In our records AS Real Bamako and Stade Malien have met 6 times: AS Real Bamako won 1, 2 ended level and Stade Malien won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Stade Malien 0-1 AS Real Bamako.
Match decisions & VAR
92'Penalty awardedStade MalienDecision
95'Red cardStade MalienDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Stade Malien won 0-1.
Story
AS Real Bamako vs Stade Malien: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
90' — Stade Malien took the lead: 0-1. It came in the closing minutes. 95' — Stade Malien had a player sent off. Stade Malien won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AS Real BamakoDrawStade Malien
Pre-match model estimate: AS Real Bamako 46%, draw 28%, Stade Malien 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AS Real Bamako win in 46% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Stade Malien win 26%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 41%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ligue 1
