One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Afrique EliteKick-off0-0US Bougouba
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Afrique Elite 1.1 – 1.0 US Bougouba. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Both teams score in 41% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Afrique EliteUS Bougouba
On our results the two teams are close in strengthbalanced
Afrique Elite: home advantage in this competitionAEstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Afrique Elite.
Why it matters: A win could put Afrique Elite top of the table.
Table by result
Afrique Elite6
A win can take them top.
A defeat drops them to 7.
Win1–3Draw3–6Loss7
US Bougouba8
A win lifts them to 3.
Win3Draw7Loss7–8
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
US Bougouba arrive 8th in the standings on 2 points; Afrique Elite are 6th with 3 points. Afrique Elite are 1 point ahead of US Bougouba. A win could take Afrique Elite top of the table.
In 6th, Afrique Elite trail top spot by 3 points.
How they come into it
Afrique EliteWLWWDUS BougoubaDDLLW
Over the last 5 matches, Afrique Elite have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Afrique Elite have found the net in 4 straight games. Afrique Elite's recent home record reads 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Goals have flowed in Afrique Elite's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Over the last 5 matches, US Bougouba have collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. US Bougouba are winless in 4. US Bougouba's recent away record reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Across 10 matches, US Bougouba have scored 0.9 and let in 1.5 goals per match on average.
Head to head
Afrique Elite and US Bougouba have met 6 times in our records: 3 wins for US Bougouba and 3 draws. The last meeting, in 2026, went 1-0 to US Bougouba. US Bougouba are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings with Afrique Elite.
Ligue 1
