This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Omonia Aradippou vs Digenis Akritas Morphou: preview
Omonia Aradippou have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Omonia Aradippou have not won in 5 matches. 4 of Omonia Aradippou's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Digenis Akritas Morphou have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Digenis Akritas Morphou's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Omonia Aradippou win in 68% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Digenis Akritas Morphou win 13%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, Omonia Aradippou have collected 2 draws and 3 defeats. Omonia Aradippou are winless in 5. Across 10 matches, Omonia Aradippou have scored 0.9 and let in 1.2 goals per match on average.
Recent form for Digenis Akritas Morphou: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 5, with 5 goals for and 4 against. Digenis Akritas Morphou were held 1-1 by Chalkanoras Idaliou in their latest outing. Digenis Akritas Morphou average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.