Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: APOEL won 5-2.
Story
APOEL vs Chalkanoras Idaliou: the story of the match
10' — APOEL took the lead: 1-0. 21' — APOEL extended the lead: 2-0. 44' — APOEL extended the lead: 3-0. Half time: 3-0.
49' — Chalkanoras Idaliou pulled one back: 3-1. 70' — APOEL extended the lead: 4-1. 80' — Chalkanoras Idaliou pulled one back: 4-2. 86' — APOEL extended the lead: 5-2. It came in the closing minutes. APOEL won 5-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
APOELDrawChalkanoras Idaliou
Pre-match model estimate: APOEL 90%, draw 7%, Chalkanoras Idaliou 3%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): APOEL win in 90% of the simulated matches, 7% end level and Chalkanoras Idaliou win 3%. Average goals 4.3; the most likely score is 3-0 (12%); both teams score in 44%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
APOEL took the lead on 10 minutes. APOEL extended their lead to 2-0 on 21 minutes. The officials disallowed a APOEL goal on 26 minutes. APOEL extended their lead to 3-0 on 44 minutes. Half-time: 3-0, APOEL in front.
Just 5 minutes later (49') Chalkanoras Idaliou pulled one back to make it 3-1. APOEL extended their lead to 4-1 on 70 minutes. A APOEL goal stood after a VAR check in the 71st minute. VAR checked and confirmed the Chalkanoras Idaliou goal on 80 minutes. Chalkanoras Idaliou pulled one back to make it 4-2 on 80 minutes.
Just 6 minutes later (86') APOEL extended their lead to 5-2.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-1, from 7 and 3 attempts respectively. Dangerous attacks: 191 for APOEL, 38 for Chalkanoras Idaliou.
What the result means
APOEL are now unbeaten in 5 matches. Chalkanoras Idaliou have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
