Northampton Town vs Crawley Town: the story of the match
38' — Northampton Town took the lead: 1-0. Nathaniel Opoku scored it. Half time: 1-0.
55' — Lee Evans of Northampton Town was sent off. 67' — Crawley Town equalised: 1-1. Dion Pereira scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
Pre-match model estimate: Northampton Town 39%, draw 33%, Crawley Town 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nathaniel Opoku opened the scoring for Northampton Town after 38 minutes, set up by Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh. It was Northampton Town 1-0 Crawley Town at half-time.
Northampton Town had a player sent off on 55 minutes: Lee Evans. Crawley Town drew level at 1-1 in the 67th minute: Dion Pereira.
The bigger picture
Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for Northampton Town, 1 win for Crawley Town and 1 draw.
What’s next
Next up for Northampton Town: away at Salford City on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
