Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished ·
Last update:
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Liberty won 2-3.
Story
Furman vs Liberty: the story of the match
Liberty won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FurmanDrawLiberty
Pre-match model estimate: Furman 71%, draw 16%, Liberty 13%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Furman win in 71% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Liberty win 13%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 63%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.