Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SS Barletta won 0-1.
Story
Foggia vs SS Barletta: the story of the match
SS Barletta started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 28' — SS Barletta took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1, with SS Barletta applying more of the pressure.
After 46' the momentum swung to Foggia. SS Barletta won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FoggiaDrawSS Barletta
Pre-match model estimate: Foggia 45%, draw 28%, SS Barletta 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FoggiaSS Barletta
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min6812
Last 15 min684
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Foggia win in 45% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and SS Barletta win 27%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 46%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SS Barletta beat Foggia1-0 without conceding at Stadio Pino Zaccheria.
Key moments
The early pressure came from SS Barletta, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. SS Barletta took the lead on 28 minutes. It was Foggia 0-1 SS Barletta at half-time; SS Barletta had the better of the pressure.
Foggia took over after the 46th minute, pinning SS Barletta back.
The statistics
Foggia won 3 corners, SS Barletta 4. Foggia produced 101 dangerous attacks to SS Barletta's 62.
What it means
In the table, Foggia are 16th with 15 points. SS Barletta sit 15th on 15 points in the standings. Foggia's run of 7 matches with a goal comes to an end. It is SS Barletta's first win against Foggia since 2014.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
