This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lazio U20 win in 43% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Sassuolo U20 win 32%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lazio U20 beat Sassuolo U203-1 in the Campionato Primavera 1. It was 2-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Lazio U20 took the lead on 20 minutes. Lazio U20 extended their lead to 2-0 on 40 minutes. It was Lazio U20 2-0 Sassuolo U20 at half-time.
Lazio U20 extended their lead to 3-0 on 62 minutes. Sassuolo U20 pulled one back to make it 3-1 on 66 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 4-3.
What it means
Lazio U20 are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Sassuolo U20's 4-match unbeaten run is over. Lazio U20 had not beaten Sassuolo U20 in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
