23' — KAS Eupen took the lead: 1-0. R. Di Matteo scored it. 36' — KAS Eupen extended the lead: 2-0. I. Nuhu scored it. Half time: 2-0.
70' — KAS Eupen extended the lead: 3-0. Kikas scored it. 82' — RFC Liege pulled one back: 3-1. P. Ngawa scored it. 93' — A. Qevani of RFC Liege was sent off. KAS Eupen won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KAS EupenDrawRFC Liege
Pre-match model estimate: KAS Eupen 54%, draw 23%, RFC Liege 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
KAS Eupen took the lead on 23 minutes thanks to R. Di Matteo, set up by A. Keita. I. Nuhu made it 2-0 for KAS Eupen after 36 minutes, set up by B. Simakala. KAS Eupen led 2-0 at the break.
KAS Eupen extended their lead to 3-0 on 70 minutes thanks to Kikas, set up by Y. Van Genechten. RFC Liege pulled one back to make it 3-1 on 82 minutes thanks to P. Ngawa, set up by N. Dendani. A. Qevani saw a straight red card in the 93rd minute, leaving RFC Liege short-handed.
What it means
KAS Eupen have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. RFC Liege have now gone 4 matches without a win.
Challenger Pro League
