6' — Juventus took the lead: 1-0. Zeki Çelik scored it. 15' — Stade Rennais equalised: 1-1. Mousa Al-Tamari scored it. 43' — Stade Rennais completed the turnaround: 1-2. Boulaye Dia scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-2.
67' — Juventus equalised: 2-2. Nick Woltemade scored from the penalty spot. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
JuventusDrawStade Rennais
Pre-match model estimate: Juventus 62%, draw 21%, Stade Rennais 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Juventus win in 62% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Stade Rennais win 17%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Juventus took the lead in the 6th minute: Zeki Çelik. Mousa Al-Tamari equalised for Stade Rennais at 1-1 after 15 minutes, set up by Bryan Reynolds. After a review on 40 minutes, Stade Rennais were given a penalty. Boulaye Dia turned the game around for Stade Rennais at 2-1 after 43 minutes. Half-time: 1-2, Stade Rennais in front.
VAR awarded Juventus a penalty in the 65th minute. Just 2 minutes later (67') Juventus drew level at 2-2, Nick Woltemade from the penalty spot on target. VAR disallowed a Juventus goal on 89 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 12-9, 7-6 on target. Corners finished 7-5. Dangerous attacks: 57 for Juventus, 30 for Stade Rennais.
What it means
Stade Rennais have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Juventus visit AZ Alkmaar next, on 5 November in the UEFA Europa League. Next up for Stade Rennais: home to Lille OSC on Sunday 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Europa League
