Inter Toronto FC vs Atletico Ottawa: the story of the match
37' — Inter Toronto FC took the lead: 1-0. J. Almagro scored it. Half time: 1-0.
90' — Atletico Ottawa equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Inter Toronto FC went back in front: 2-1. J. Altobelli scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Inter Toronto FC won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Inter Toronto FCDrawAtletico Ottawa
Pre-match model estimate: Inter Toronto FC 32%, draw 21%, Atletico Ottawa 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Inter Toronto FC win in 32% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Atletico Ottawa win 47%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 1-2 (8%); both teams score in 72%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Canadian Premier League
