HFX Wanderers vs FC Supra du Quebec: the story of the match
6' — FC Supra du Quebec took the lead: 0-1. I. Conde scored it. 40' — FC Supra du Quebec extended the lead: 0-2. I. Conde scored it. 45' — HFX Wanderers pulled one back: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
54' — HFX Wanderers equalised: 2-2. A. Reid scored it. 63' — FC Supra du Quebec went back in front: 2-3. An own goal by T. Meilleur-Giguère. 69' — HFX Wanderers equalised: 3-3. Kareem Sow scored it. 71' — FC Supra du Quebec went back in front: 3-4. S. Rea scored it. FC Supra du Quebec won 3-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
HFX WanderersDrawFC Supra du Quebec
Pre-match model estimate: HFX Wanderers 23%, draw 21%, FC Supra du Quebec 56%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): HFX Wanderers win in 23% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and FC Supra du Quebec win 56%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
HFX Wanderers – FC Supra du Quebec match report
Updated:
FC Supra du Quebec got the better of HFX Wanderers, winning 4-3 at Wanderers Grounds. FC Supra du Quebec owed a lot to I. Conde, who struck twice. It was 1-2 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
FC Supra du Quebec took the lead in the 6th minute: I. Conde, set up by L. Kwemi. FC Supra du Quebec extended their lead to 2-0 on 40 minutes thanks to I. Conde, set up by A. Sissoko. Just 5 minutes later (45') HFX Wanderers pulled one back to make it 1-2. Half-time: 1-2, FC Supra du Quebec in front.
HFX Wanderers drew level at 2-2 in the 54th minute: A. Reid. FC Supra du Quebec went 3-2 up on 63 minutes thanks to an own goal from T. Meilleur-Giguère. HFX Wanderers drew level at 3-3 in the 69th minute: Kareem Sow, set up by L. Callegari. FC Supra du Quebec went 4-3 up in the 71st minute: S. Rea. The officials disallowed a HFX Wanderers goal on 93 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 4-8.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for HFX Wanderers: 5 matches now. FC Supra du Quebec are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
Canadian Premier League
