One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Atletico OttawaKick-off0-0Forge FC
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico Ottawa win in 24% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Forge FC win 51%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
3Atletico Ottawa3Draws4Forge FC
Goals: 12 - 17 · last 10 meetings
Canadian Premier LeagueForge FC2 - 3Atletico Ottawa
Canadian Premier LeagueAtletico Ottawa1 - 2Forge FC
Canadian Premier LeagueForge FC3 - 0Atletico Ottawa
Canadian Premier LeagueAtletico Ottawa2 - 1Forge FC
Canadian Premier LeagueForge FC2 - 0Atletico Ottawa
Canadian Premier LeagueForge FC1 - 2Atletico Ottawa
Canadian Premier LeagueAtletico Ottawa1 - 1Forge FC
Canadian Premier LeagueForge FC2 - 0Atletico Ottawa
Canadian Premier LeagueAtletico Ottawa1 - 1Forge FC
Canadian Premier LeagueForge FC2 - 2Atletico Ottawa
Goals scored per match: 2.1Goals conceded per match: 1.2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC: the story of the match
15' — Forge FC took the lead: 0-1. A. Aromatario scored it. 23' — Atletico Ottawa equalised: 1-1. D. Gutiérrez scored it. 35' — Forge FC went back in front: 1-2. M. Jevremović scored it. 43' — Atletico Ottawa equalised: 2-2. B. Tabla scored it. Half time: 2-2.
The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico OttawaDrawForge FC
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico Ottawa 24%, draw 25%, Forge FC 51%.
It finished 2-2 between Atletico Ottawa and Forge FC at TD Place Stadium. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Atletico Ottawa's D. Gutiérrez: 8.5. The match was played on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at TD Place Stadium in Ottawa.
Key moments
Forge FC took the lead on 15 minutes thanks to A. Aromatario, set up by N. Jensen. D. Gutiérrez equalised for Atletico Ottawa at 1-1 after 23 minutes. Forge FC went 2-1 up in the 35th minute through M. Jevremović. Atletico Ottawa drew level at 2-2 on 43 minutes thanks to B. Tabla, set up by Joaquim Coulanges. The first half ended 2-2.
The statistics
Corners finished 5-12. Dangerous attacks: 49 for Forge FC, 31 for Atletico Ottawa. Atletico Ottawa committed 16 fouls to Forge FC's 15.
Forge FC's yellow cards went to N. Ampomah in the 89th minute.
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to A. Aromatario (Forge FC, 8.2), M. Jevremović (Forge FC, 8.2) and Joaquim Coulanges (Atletico Ottawa, 8.0). From the Atletico Ottawa bench came G. Antinoro on 65 minutes, J. Assi on 80 minutes, J. Castro on 88 minutes and R. Abraham on 88 minutes. Forge FC made 5 changes: A. Sadek for M. Bourgeois (65'), L. Johnson for I. Oketokoun (65'), D. Krutzen for N. Jensen (78') and T. Borges for A. Aromatario (78').
How they came into it
Atletico Ottawa came into the match with 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 5 straight games. Inter Toronto FC beat Atletico Ottawa 2-1 last time out. Before kick-off, Forge FC's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins and 2 draws. Forge FC drew 1-1 with CF Montreal last time out. The last meeting, in 2026, went 2-1 to Forge FC. Those 9 games produced 24 goals, an average of 2.7 per match.
What the result means
Atletico Ottawa have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. Forge FC are now unbeaten in 11 matches. Across 10 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Atletico Ottawa, 4 wins for Forge FC and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
