50' — SSC Napoli took the lead: 0-1. M. Politano scored it. 53' — SSC Napoli extended the lead: 0-2. R. Hojlund scored it. 56' — Inter Milan pulled one back: 1-2. L. Martinez scored it. 82' — Inter Milan equalised: 2-2. M. Thuram scored it. 90' — Inter Milan completed the turnaround: 3-2. L. Martinez scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Inter Milan won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Inter MilanDrawSSC Napoli
Pre-match model estimate: Inter Milan 54%, draw 25%, SSC Napoli 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Inter Milan recovered from going behind and won 3-2 against SSC Napoli. Inter Milan owed a lot to L. Martinez, who struck twice.
Key moments
It was Inter Milan 0-0 SSC Napoli at half-time.
SSC Napoli took the lead on 50 minutes thanks to M. Politano. SSC Napoli extended their lead to 2-0 on 53 minutes thanks to R. Hojlund, set up by G. Di Lorenzo. Inter Milan pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 56th minute: L. Martinez, set up by F. Dimarco. Inter Milan drew level at 2-2 on 82 minutes thanks to M. Thuram, set up by Carlos Augusto. L. Martinez turned the game around for Inter Milan at 3-2 after 90 minutes, set up by M. Akanji.
What it means
Inter Milan had not beaten SSC Napoli in any of the previous 4 meetings we have.
What’s next
Inter Milan's next match is away to Feyenoord Rotterdam on 3 November. SSC Napoli visit Porto next, on 4 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
