One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
IA AkranesKick-off0-0Keflavik
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): IA Akranes win in 61% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Keflavik win 21%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 73%.
Goals scored per match: 1.5Goals conceded per match: 2.1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 4-4.
Story
IA Akranes vs Keflavik: the story of the match
15' — IA Akranes took the lead: 1-0. 17' — Keflavik equalised: 1-1. A. Conteh scored it. 22' — IA Akranes went back in front: 2-1. G. Unnarsson scored it. 38' — IA Akranes extended the lead: 3-1. S. Ellertsson scored it. 45' — Keflavik pulled one back: 3-2. A. Conteh scored it. Half time: 3-2.
49' — Keflavik equalised: 3-3. 57' — Keflavik completed the turnaround: 3-4. A. Johannesson scored it. 76' — IA Akranes equalised: 4-4. G. Eyjolfsson scored it. The match ended 4-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
IA AkranesDrawKeflavik
Pre-match model estimate: IA Akranes 61%, draw 18%, Keflavik 21%.
It finished 4-4 between IA Akranes and Keflavik. Keflavik owed a lot to A. Conteh, who struck twice. It was 3-2 at half-time. A. Johannesson was our player of the match, rated 8.4 by the ScoreMondo model for Keflavik. The match was played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 (matchday 5).
Key moments
IA Akranes took the lead on 15 minutes. A. Conteh equalised for Keflavik at 1-1 after 17 minutes, set up by A. Johannesson. IA Akranes went 2-1 up on 22 minutes thanks to G. Unnarsson, set up by V. Jonsson. IA Akranes extended their lead to 3-1 on 38 minutes thanks to S. Ellertsson. Keflavik pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 45 minutes thanks to A. Conteh, set up by A. Johannesson.
Half-time: 3-2, IA Akranes in front.
Just 4 minutes later (49') Keflavik drew level at 3-3. Keflavik completed the turnaround at 4-3 in the 57th minute through A. Johannesson. IA Akranes drew level at 4-4 on 76 minutes thanks to G. Eyjolfsson.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-7.
Keflavik's yellow cards went to B. L. Brynjarsson in the 72nd minute.
IA Akranes came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — scoring in 11 straight games. Their most recent game was a 4-2 win over Fram Reykjavik for IA Akranes. Before kick-off, Keflavik's last 5 matches had brought 1 draw and 4 defeats. Keflavik lost 3-2 at home to KR Reykjavik in their last match. The last meeting, in 2026 in the Urvalsdeild, went 5-2 to Keflavik. Those 9 games produced 34 goals, an average of 3.8 per match. G. F. Robertsson was the referee.
The bigger picture
IA Akranes sit 3rd on 8 points in the standings. In the table, Keflavik are 6th with 2 points. IA Akranes are now unbeaten in 4 matches. The wait for a win goes on for Keflavik: 7 matches now. Across 10 meetings in our records: 3 wins for IA Akranes, 5 wins for Keflavik and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
