Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 0-0.
Story
FKS Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Glogow: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FKS Stal MielecDrawChrobry Glogow
Pre-match model estimate: FKS Stal Mielec 40%, draw 25%, Chrobry Glogow 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FKS Stal Mielec win in 40% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Chrobry Glogow win 35%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FKS Stal Mielec had 5 shots (2 on target) to Chrobry Glogow's 6 (1). Corners finished 0-6.
The bigger picture
FKS Stal Mielec drop from 14th to 15th on 13 points. Chrobry Glogow slip to 14th (13 points), having started the day 11th. Chrobry Glogow end a run of 4 straight defeats. Across 11 meetings in our records: 5 wins for FKS Stal Mielec, 4 wins for Chrobry Glogow and 2 draws.
1. Liga
