This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Chrobry Glogow win in 38% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Polonia Bytom win 38%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chrobry Glogow took the lead on 33 minutes thanks to Y. Sharabura. Chrobry Glogow extended their lead to 2-0 in the 36th minute: A. Rybak. Half-time: 2-0, Chrobry Glogow in front.
Match statistics
Chrobry Glogow had 4 shots (3 on target) to Polonia Bytom's 5 (0). Chrobry Glogow won 5 corners, Polonia Bytom 8. Polonia Bytom produced 208 dangerous attacks to Chrobry Glogow's 108.
What the result means
Chrobry Glogow end a run of 7 matches without a win. The result ends Polonia Bytom's run of 3 straight wins. It is Chrobry Glogow's first win over Polonia Bytom in the last 3 meetings on record.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
