Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Unia Skierniewice
S. Pruszkowski
J. Straus
E. Wolinski
M. Stepien
O. Gavrylenko
J. Bieronski
J. Mierzwa
M. Szmyd
D. Gaska
A. Burkiewicz
B. Bida
Polonia Bytom
W. Banasik
G. Szymusik
J. Szymanski
O. Krzyzak
K. Wolkowicz
M. Labojko
B. Mioc
K. Orlik
K. Andrzejczak
L. Zielinski
K. Wojtyra
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Polonia Bytom won 1-2.
Story
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom: the story of the match
29' — E. Wolinski of Unia Skierniewice was sent off. Half time: 0-0.
60' — Unia Skierniewice took the lead: 1-0. J. Bieronski scored it. 76' — Polonia Bytom equalised: 1-1. G. Szymusik scored it. 89' — Polonia Bytom completed the turnaround: 1-2. D. Rumin scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Polonia Bytom won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Unia SkierniewiceDrawPolonia Bytom
Pre-match model estimate: Unia Skierniewice 37%, draw 24%, Polonia Bytom 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Unia Skierniewice win in 37% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Polonia Bytom win 39%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Unia Skierniewice had a player sent off on 29 minutes: E. Wolinski. Half-time: 0-0 between Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Bytom.
Unia Skierniewice took the lead on 60 minutes thanks to J. Bieronski, set up by J. Straus. G. Szymusik equalised for Polonia Bytom at 1-1 after 76 minutes. D. Rumin turned the game around for Polonia Bytom at 2-1 after 89 minutes.
What the numbers say
On target it was 2-6, from 9 and 20 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-12. Unia Skierniewice's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 256 for Polonia Bytom, 84 for Unia Skierniewice.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for Unia Skierniewice: 5 matches now. Polonia Bytom have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
