One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Stabaek FotballKick-off0-0Stromsgodset IF
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Stabaek Fotball win in 45% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Stromsgodset IF win 35%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 73%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Goals scored per match: 2.9Goals conceded per match: 1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Stromsgodset IF won 2-3.
Story
Stabaek Fotball vs Stromsgodset IF: the story of the match
3' — Stabaek Fotball took the lead: 1-0. A. Matic scored it. 8' — Stromsgodset IF equalised: 1-1. K. Krasniqi scored it. 24' — Stromsgodset IF completed the turnaround: 1-2. F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa scored it. 45' — Stabaek Fotball equalised: 2-2. E. Lereng scored it. Half time: 2-2.
75' — Stromsgodset IF completed the turnaround: 2-3. S. Pingel scored it. Stromsgodset IF won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Stabaek FotballDrawStromsgodset IF
Pre-match model estimate: Stabaek Fotball 45%, draw 20%, Stromsgodset IF 35%.
Stabaek Fotball let a lead slip and lost 3-2 to Stromsgodset IF at Nadderud Stadion. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Stromsgodset IF's S. Pingel: 8.6. The match was played on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at Nadderud Stadion in Bekkestua (matchday 29).
The story of the match
Stabaek Fotball took the lead on 3 minutes thanks to A. Matic, set up by A. Hoven. Stromsgodset IF drew level at 1-1 on 8 minutes thanks to K. Krasniqi, set up by S. Pingel. Stromsgodset IF completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 24 minutes thanks to F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa, set up by S. Pingel. Stabaek Fotball drew level at 2-2 on 45 minutes thanks to E. Lereng. It was Stabaek Fotball 2-2 Stromsgodset IF at half-time.
Stromsgodset IF completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 75 minutes thanks to S. Pingel, set up by E. Melkersen.
What the numbers say
Stabaek Fotball had 7 shots (2 on target) to Stromsgodset IF's 8 (6). Corners finished 3-4. Stabaek Fotball committed 4 fouls to Stromsgodset IF's 9, and the offside count read 1-0.
Stabaek Fotball's yellow cards went to J. Hanstad in the 90th minute. Booked for Stromsgodset IF: K. Krasniqi (14').
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa (Stromsgodset IF, 7.2), A. Matic (Stabaek Fotball, 6.8) and E. Lereng (Stabaek Fotball, 6.8). From the Stabaek Fotball bench came A. Aamodt on 73 minutes, O. Solnordal on 74 minutes, D. Santos on 74 minutes and O. Veum on 84 minutes, among 5 changes. Stromsgodset IF made 5 changes: B. Sormo for G. Valsvik (46'), K. Antonsen for K. Krasniqi (46'), E. Melkersen for A. Heredia-Randen (70') and A. Skistad for M. Mehnert (70').
The context
Before kick-off Stabaek Fotball were 4th on 58 points and Stromsgodset IF 2nd on 63 points. Stabaek Fotball came into the match with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 5. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over Kongsvinger IL for Stabaek Fotball. Before kick-off, Stromsgodset IF's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins and 2 defeats. Last time out, Stromsgodset IF beat Moss FK3-0 at home. In 10 previous meetings, Stabaek Fotball have won 4, Stromsgodset IF 5, and 1 has been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026, went 2-1 to Stromsgodset IF. Those 10 games produced 27 goals, an average of 2.7 per match. Mischa Kellerhals was the referee, averaging 2.1 yellow cards per match across 9 matches in our records.
What the result means
Stabaek Fotball remain 4th, now with 58 points. Stromsgodset IF climb from 2nd to 1st on 66 points. Stabaek Fotball's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
