Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Moss FK beat Ranheim IL 3-1 in 1. Division.
In our records Moss FK and Ranheim IL have met 9 times: Moss FK won 2, 1 ended level and Ranheim IL won 6.
Their latest meeting (): Ranheim IL 4-0 Moss FK.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Moss FK won 3-1.
Story
Moss FK vs Ranheim IL: the story of the match
Moss FK started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 7' — Moss FK took the lead: 1-0. 22' — Ranheim IL equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with Ranheim IL applying more of the pressure.
90' — Moss FK went back in front: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Moss FK extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. Moss FK won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Moss FKDrawRanheim IL
Pre-match model estimate: Moss FK 36%, draw 22%, Ranheim IL 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Moss FKRanheim IL
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min4379
Last 15 min6873
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Moss FK win in 36% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Ranheim IL win 42%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 69%. About 10.7 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Moss FK got the better of Ranheim IL, winning 3-1. It was 1-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Moss FK started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Moss FK took the lead on 7 minutes. Ranheim IL drew level at 1-1 on 22 minutes. It was Moss FK 1-1 Ranheim IL at half-time; Ranheim IL had the better of the pressure.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Moss FK went 2-1 up. Late on, in the 90th minute, Moss FK extended their lead to 3-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-6, from 10 and 11 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-10. Moss FK's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 169 for Ranheim IL, 96 for Moss FK.
What the result means
Moss FK climb from 14th to 13th on 32 points. Ranheim IL remain 7th, now with 41 points. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Moss FK. Ranheim IL have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
