13' — Lens took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by Adrien Monfray. 27' — ES Troyes equalised: 1-1. Timothé Nkada scored it. 45' — Lens went back in front: 1-2. Odsonne Édouard scored it. Half time: 1-2.
54' — Lens extended the lead: 1-3. Ruben Aguilar scored it. Lens won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ES TroyesDrawLens
Pre-match model estimate: ES Troyes 20%, draw 24%, Lens 56%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lens took the lead on 13 minutes thanks to an own goal from Adrien Monfray. ES Troyes drew level at 1-1 on 27 minutes thanks to Timothé Nkada. Lens went 2-1 up on 45 minutes thanks to Odsonne Édouard. It was ES Troyes 1-2 Lens at half-time.
Lens extended their lead to 3-1 on 54 minutes thanks to Ruben Aguilar.
Match statistics
ES Troyes had 9 shots (5 on target) to Lens' 7 (3). Corners finished 6-4. Dangerous attacks: 45 for ES Troyes, 29 for Lens.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for ES Troyes: 6 matches now.
What’s next
ES Troyes host Le Mans next, on 31 October in Ligue 1. Next up for Lens: away at Lille OSC on Friday 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
