25' — Real Madrid took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by M. Dituro. 33' — Real Madrid extended the lead: 0-2. K. Mbappe scored it. Half time: 0-2.
71' — Elche CF pulled one back: 1-2. A. Osorio scored it. 83' — Elche CF equalised: 2-2. F. Nino scored it. 90' — Real Madrid went back in front: 2-3. C. Espi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Real Madrid won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Elche CFDrawReal Madrid
Pre-match model estimate: Elche CF 17%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A goal in the 90th minute gave Real Madrid a 3-2 win against Elche CF in LaLiga. It was 0-2 at half-time.
Key moments
Real Madrid took the lead on 25 minutes thanks to an own goal from M. Dituro. Real Madrid extended their lead to 2-0 on 33 minutes thanks to K. Mbappe, set up by Y. Diomande. Half-time: 0-2, Real Madrid in front.
Elche CF pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 71 minutes thanks to A. Osorio, set up by L. Cepeda. Elche CF drew level at 2-2 in the 83rd minute: F. Nino, set up by Josan. Real Madrid went 3-2 up on 90 minutes thanks to C. Espi, set up by K. Mbappe.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Elche CF: 6 matches now.
Next fixtures
Elche CF's next match is at home against Real Betis on 8 November. Real Madrid visit Valencia next, on 7 November in LaLiga.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.