Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Eibar B beat Bergantinos CF 3-2 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
Match decisions & VAR
78'Penalty awardedEibar BDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Eibar B won 3-2.
Story
Eibar B vs Bergantinos CF: the story of the match
33' — Eibar B took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
47' — Eibar B extended the lead: 2-0. 60' — Bergantinos CF pulled one back: 2-1. 75' — Bergantinos CF equalised: 2-2. 78' — Eibar B went back in front: 3-2. Eibar B won 3-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Eibar BDrawBergantinos CF
Pre-match model estimate: Eibar B 44%, draw 27%, Bergantinos CF 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Eibar B win in 44% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Bergantinos CF win 29%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Eibar B took the lead on 33 minutes. Eibar B led 1-0 at the break.
Eibar B extended their lead to 2-0 on 47 minutes. Bergantinos CF pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 60 minutes. Bergantinos CF drew level at 2-2 on 75 minutes. Eibar B went 3-2 up on 78 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 10-1.
What the result means
Eibar B are now unbeaten in 7 matches. Bergantinos CF's 5-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
