Sestao River beat Arosa SC 1-0 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
Venue: Estadio Las Llanas.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
Coaches
Angel Viadero · Lemos
Match decisions & VAR
44'Penalty awardedSestao RiverDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Sestao River won 1-0.
Story
Sestao River vs Arosa SC: the story of the match
Half time: 1-0.
Sestao River won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sestao RiverDrawArosa SC
Pre-match model estimate: Sestao River 62%, draw 22%, Arosa SC 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sestao River win in 62% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Arosa SC win 16%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
