Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AS Giana Erminio beat Desenzano FC 2-1 in Serie C, Group B.
Venue: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Referee: C. Zito.
Match decisions & VAR
48'Goal standsVAR review · goalDecision
76'Goal standsVAR review · goalDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AS Giana Erminio won 1-2.
Story
Desenzano FC vs AS Giana Erminio: the story of the match
37' — AS Giana Erminio took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
47' — Desenzano FC equalised: 1-1. 76' — AS Giana Erminio went back in front: 1-2. AS Giana Erminio won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Desenzano FCDrawAS Giana Erminio
Pre-match model estimate: Desenzano FC 44%, draw 25%, AS Giana Erminio 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Desenzano FC win in 44% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and AS Giana Erminio win 31%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Giana Erminio took the lead on 37 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, AS Giana Erminio in front.
Desenzano FC drew level at 1-1 on 47 minutes. AS Giana Erminio went 2-1 up on 76 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 3-4, from 4 and 6 attempts respectively. Desenzano FC won 5 corners, AS Giana Erminio 2.
The bigger picture
Desenzano FC stay 11th on 13 points. The result lifts AS Giana Erminio to 15th with 11 points, up from 18th. Desenzano FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. AS Giana Erminio extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
Next fixtures
Desenzano FC visit AC Dolomiti Bellunesi next, on 28 October. Next up for AS Giana Erminio: home to ASD Alcione on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie C, Group B
