Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi and Desenzano FC meet on in Coppa Italia Serie C, Knockout stage.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
36%28%36%
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi36%Draw28%Desenzano FC36%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Desenzano FC: preview
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. AC Dolomiti Bellunesi have not won in 8 matches. 6 of AC Dolomiti Bellunesi's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Desenzano FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Desenzano FC have scored in 4 matches in a row. 5 of Desenzano FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 36%, draw 28%, Desenzano FC 36%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): AC Dolomiti Bellunesi win in 36% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Desenzano FC win 36%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 46%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi come into it with 1 draw and 4 defeats from 5 matches. AC Dolomiti Bellunesi are winless in 8. Goals have flowed in AC Dolomiti Bellunesi's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Desenzano FC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Desenzano FC have found the net in 4 straight games. Across 10 matches, Desenzano FC have scored 1.0 and let in 1.2 goals per match on average.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Coppa Italia Serie C, Knockout stage
